Pollster Frank Luntz Warns Democrats: Trump Could Win This Deep-Blue State


Prominent pollster Frank Luntz has issued a warning to Democrats about the potential for Donald Trump to win Minnesota, a state that has long been a Democratic stronghold. Luntz’s observations come as Trump continues to defy conventional political wisdom, even in the face of significant legal challenges.

“To me, it’s not that Donald Trump is winning so big in Iowa. That’s not the story. It’s that he’s making it close in Minnesota,” Luntz said. “Minnesota is a reliable Democratic state. It votes Democrat in every presidential campaign. In poll after poll, I see Trump within two or three points in Minnesota.”

Traditionally, Minnesota has been a safe bet for Democratic candidates, consistently voting blue in presidential elections. However, Luntz’s data indicates that Trump is within striking distance, raising concerns for Democrats who might have considered the state a secure part of their electoral strategy.

“I don’t think the media understands exactly what’s going on right now,” Luntz continued. “Yes, Trump dropped a few points after being found guilty on 34 felony counts. But remember this, that would have destroyed any candidate as recently as 10 years ago. And the fact that Donald Trump is still even with, or in some cases leading Joe Biden after being found guilty of 34 felonies. Oh my God, that is so significant.”


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Luntz’s comments define the resilience of Trump’s support base. Despite the legal hurdles and ongoing controversies, Trump’s appeal remains strong among a significant portion of the electorate. Trump was convicted by a jury in New York last month on 34 counts of falsifying business records in order to influence the 2016 presidential election. The conviction represented the first time in the nation’s history that a former president has been found guilty of a crime. Despite this, Trump’s political influence and ability to galvanize support remain remarkably robust.

“And one more point, I’m watching the independent vote. I don’t believe that they’re swinging back and forth between Trump and Biden. I think that they decided that they hate both candidates. They hate both parties and they’re voting out of anger, out of desperation, out of resentment,” Luntz said. “So be very careful in how you analyze what goes on from now through the debates, through the election, because I think there could be a hidden anger vote that surprises everyone on election day.”

A “hidden anger vote” could be a crucial factor in the upcoming election. Independent voters, disillusioned with both major parties, might cast their ballots out of frustration, potentially altering the expected outcomes in key states like Minnesota.

Biden and Trump are set for an unprecedented early debate next Thursday, months before the typical election season confrontations. The novel June face-off will not be orchestrated by the traditional Commission on Presidential Debates but rather by CNN.

On Monday, the Biden campaign launched a hard-hitting ad targeting battleground states, labeling the presumptive Republican nominee as a self-serving felon. The bold move seemed to settle an internal debate among Democrats regarding how prominently to feature Trump’s legal troubles in their tightly contested race for the White House come November.

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