Kamala’s Betting Odds Tank After Bret Baier’s Interview


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The political betting markets are growing even more sour on Vice President Kamala Harris following her contentious interview with Fox News’ Bret Baier on Wednesday.

For the first time since early August, former President Donald Trump has opened up a 20+ point lead over Harris. More than six in 10 bets placed today now predict a Trump victory in November, a public vote of no confidence in Harris after she squabbled for 20 minutes with Baier in an interview meant to showcase her ability to speak with less forgiving media outlets. Instead, details about the meeting were revealed by Baier, who described Harris staffers playing games as they brought her in late and begged to shave minutes off from the agreed-upon length. As the interview ended, Baier told his colleagues on-air last night that at least four staffers were frantically waving their hands off-camera, demanding Baier end the sit-down.

(VOTE: Should ’60 Minutes’ Be Investigated For Deceptively Editing Kamala Interview?)

Bettors are giving Trump a mammoth 61.7% chance of victory compared to just 38.1% chance for Harris, a lead that has grown since October 2nd when Harris last led Trump by 0.2%. More than $600 million has been put on the line in wagers that Trump will win, compared to $400 million on Harris.

Before Harris got into the race, President Trump was favored by more than 70% of bettors to defeat President Joe Biden. After Harris’s entrance, the race quickly devolved into a dogfight as both candidates posted dueling leads, but it was a disastrous Democratic National Convention that started to shake bettors’ confidence in Harris’s ability to run a competent, let alone formidable, campaign. Neither did the vice president do herself any favors by avoiding the national press for more than a month or refusing to accept President Trump’s original offer to debate on Fox News.

Trump’s lead in the betting market already hit a record high earlier this week after new swing-state polls predicted his victories there: Among them were Arizona, where prognosticators predict a Trump win by a chasmic 68-32% margin; Georgia, where Trump posts a similar 64-36% lead; and North Carolina, site of an ongoing FEMA disaster relief controversy and where Trump now leads Harris 63-37%. Making matters worse for the Democrats is the bettors’ belief that the “blue” wall will not hold in Michigan or Wisconsin. Respectively, Trump is predicted to win by comparably narrower margins of 54-46% and 52-48%. However, in must-win Pennsylvania, President Trump holds a 10-point lead over Harris, 55-45%, among those placing their bets. The only state still favored to be carried by Harris is Nevada, and just barely, as she posts a 51-49% lead among bettors. Yet even there, recent polling has shown Trump ahead by as much as 5%.

Good polling news for the Trump campaign continues to roll in. A Fox News poll among more than 800 likely voters released Thursday shows President Trump with a 2-point lead over Harris. Mark Halperin, the author and journalist who has chronicled the rise and fall of presidential aspirants for decades, said last week that he sees voters’ dissatisfaction with Harris coming through in poll after poll and told Tucker Carlson he believes a lengthy malaise will settle over America if Trump wins, even leading to “fistfights in offices.”

(The American Economy Is About To Burst. Prepare Now)


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Carol William