OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author’s opinion.
Former President Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign got some more good news last week, even as indictments against him filed by his chief political rival’s Justice Department continued to pile up.
A one-time Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate says that, based on indicators, he believes Trump is “better positioned” to win a major swing state next year than he was in 2020.
Former Pennsylvania Republican candidate for Senate Sean Parnell told Breitbart News ahead of Trump’s rally in Erie, Pa., that the GOP is closing the voter registration gap with Democrats in the state, which will make the former president’s path to victory next year easier than two years ago.
Breitbart noted: “A Pennsylvania Administration of Voter Registration 2022 Annual Report found that Republicans have increased their voter registration, while Democrats have lost voters.”
Since 2018, the number of voters registered as members of the Democratic Party decreased, the number of voters registered as members of the Republican Party increased, and the number of voters who chose to be unaffiliated or registered with a non-major party increased. Voter roll numbers adjusted unevenly across the Commonwealth; the net changes ranged from a registrant increase of 2.76% in Chester County to a registrant decrease of 9.60% in Indiana County.
“The state, technically, by the numbers, is trending more Republican,” Parnell noted in the interview. “One could make the argument that, Pennsylvania, in 2024, will be more favorable for President Trump than it was in 2020.”
The former Senate candidate also noted that Trump has officially signed on to the Republican National Committee (RNC) “Bank Your Vote” initiative, which encourages GOP voters to cast their ballots early.
In a video, Trump explained his reasoning: “This must change for us to win in 2024. We may not like the current system, but we need to master the rules and beat the Democrats at their own game, and then we can make our own rules. Republicans must get tougher and fight harder to cast our votes and get our ballots turned in earlier so Democrats can’t rig the polls against us on election day. We cannot let that happen. They rigged the election in 2020—we cannot let that happen in 2024.”
While some independent investigators claimed to have found evidence of major vote fraud, several cases brought to state and federal courts did not substantiate those claims.
Nevertheless, Parnell reemphasized that Trump was “better positioned to win Pennsylvania today than he was in 2020. Don’t lose hope — there is hope.”
Trump won Pennsylvania in 2016 by 44,292 votes out of more than 6,000,000 cast, a difference of 0.72 percent. Now-President Joe Biden won the state by 80,555 votes in 2020.
The survey “found that 48% of respondents in swing states would probably or definitely vote for Trump, compared to just 41% for Biden. Though Biden is narrowly favored overall by likely voters, with 43% favoring him compared to 42% for Trump, the Republican front-runner could win 270 Electoral College votes by seizing the swing states,” the Washington Examiner reported.
Additionally, when considering the challenger Cornel West from the Green Party, Biden’s grip on the overall vote is also not guaranteed. The poll found that West has the potential to attract a substantial portion of Biden’s liberal voters, potentially enough to tilt the majority of the ballot in favor of Trump.
“When taking West into consideration, Biden’s share of the vote drops to 42%, with West taking 4% of the vote. Trump emerges triumphant with 43% of the vote,” the Examiner added. “Trump’s lead in swing states is further solidified when West is involved as well. Trump’s share remains at 48%, while Biden’s drops to 40%.”