Political analyst Harry Enten delivered a segment on CNN that may dampen the enthusiasm of Democrats rallying around Kamala Harris’s perceived momentum in the 2024 presidential race. Despite high-profile endorsements from Democratic heavyweights including former President Barack Obama, Enten suggests the supposed surge in Harris’s popularity might not be as robust as it appears.

Enten pointed out the nuances in recent polling data, which could be crucial as the Democratic Party sets the stage for what many believe will be a Harris nomination. “I think there’s all this talk of all this Harris momentum. Maybe there’s a slight bit of momentum, but I would argue it’s actually a little bit smaller than folks think,” Enten explained on CNN.

His analysis comes at a pivotal moment for the Democratic Party, which formally adopted rules on Wednesday for a likely Harris nomination. The vetting process for Harris’s potential running mate is also in full swing, with an announcement expected before August 7.

“So pre-Biden dropping out, look, Trump was up by two over Harris. We look at the polls now this week. What do we see? We see Trump is up by one over Harris,” he said. The minor shift in polling, according to Enten, indicates that the change in candidates might be more influential than any genuine momentum for Harris against Trump.

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“The massive change is actually the change of candidates because prior to Biden dropping out, he trailed by six points among these, in these exact same polls that we look at here, where Harris was only trailing by two points. So the movement is actually from Biden to Harris, not actually Harris herself necessarily moving,” Enten clarified.

The veep, the first Black female to lead a major party ticket has seen a “honeymoon” in the polls as she tightened the race against former President Donald Trump and coalesced major Democratic Party figures behind her candidacy. So far, no challenger has stepped forward, putting Harris on a glide path to a formal nomination at the party’s convention in Chicago next month. Obama, who for days left open the possibility that he would support a “blitz primary” that saw uncommitted delegates swayed by multiple candidates, closed that door.

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National polls since Biden’s exit continue to show that Trump maintains a lead over Harris and even larger leads in some of the most hotly contested battleground states of the 2024 cycle. However, the switchover has disrupted Republicans’ line of attack which for months had been honed to harness the weakness of Biden’s economy and foreign policy chops as well as growing evidence of his physical and mental decline in office. Harris has scrambled that strategy, Politico reported, as Republicans test messages about Harris’s failures as a border czar, a prosecutor as the former attorney general of California, and her penchant for making “weird” or uninformed statements about coconut trees and “fancy” artificial intelligence.

While there is a shift toward Harris from Biden among Democratic voters, the overall dynamics of the race against Trump may not have shifted as dramatically as some Democrat optimists might have hoped. As Democrats continue to coalesce around Harris with the party’s endorsement and strategic moves underway, the real test will begin in the coming months. This period be critical for Harris and the Democrat Party as they finalize their ticket and refine their strategy going forward.

(VOTE: Are You Supporting TRUMP Or KAMALA In November?)

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Vice President Kamala Harris has been under the microscope after Joe Biden threw in the towel and passed the torch to her. As she scrambles to charm the critical young voter bloc, the hard numbers are telling a less-than-stellar story about her pull with the youth.

CNN’s Harry Enten recently broke down the electoral dynamics, revealing some concerning trends for the Vice President. “Joe Biden won voters under the age of 35 by 21 points. What do we see with Kamala Harris? Well, she’s still ahead, but the margin here is significantly less than what we saw with Joe Biden back in 2020,” Enten explained. Harris currently leads by just nine points among this demographic, a decline from Biden’s performance.

The situation becomes more nuanced when considering voter motivation, a key factor in turning support into actual votes. “Do Democrats say they’re more motivated to turn out after Biden left the race? Well, we do see a significant portion of Democrats who say yes, 39 percent. The thing I was interested in was the disproportionately younger voters who said that they were more likely to turn out or more motivated to turn out, and what we see here is that it’s 42 percent. Not a big difference between 42 and 39 percent,” added Enten.

The numbers raise doubts about Harris’s unique appeal to young voters, a segment that traditionally leans Democrat. “This idea, again, that the vice president has unique potential to dig in and get young voters to turn out, John, it’s just not there in the numbers despite all the internet memes that are going around,” he said.

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Further compounding Harris’s challenges is a noticeable shift in party identification among young voters. According to a Pew Research study, the percentage of young voters identifying as Democrats or leaning Democratic has dropped from 56 percent in 2020 to 49 percent in 2024. Simultaneously, Republican identification in the same age group rose significantly.

Enten’s analysis suggests that while Harris may have some advantages over a generic Democrat candidate, these are not substantial enough to counter the broader trends. “Kamala Harris may be unique in some ways. Maybe she does slightly better than the generic Democrat, but not all that much,” he concluded.

After weeks of political turmoil, the landscape of this year’s presidential race is poised for a drastic transformation. Traditionally, sitting presidents benefit from incumbency when seeking reelection; however, for Biden, this was proven to be more of a hindrance. Discontent was palpable among Democrat voters, with a majority expressing their dissatisfaction with the nation’s current state and condemning the political and economic systems as dysfunctional. They are clamoring for change—a sentiment that former President Donald Trump has capitalized on.

According to a new CNN poll by SSRS, taken after Biden withdrew from the reelection race, former President Trump is edging out Vice President Harris with 49% of nationwide registered voter support compared to Harris’ 46%. This does represent a tighter race than polls indicated in a Biden-Trump matchup. The survey also revealed broad support for Biden’s decision to not seek reelection and to finish his term.

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